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[ժҪ]?????Ϻ???????8??21????Ѷ ????(8??20??)???????????ɾ????Ժ?,?̳??????ᵽ??Ѫ??.һ?????̳???ϸ??????????????????,9?¼?Ϣ?ĸ??ʺ??񲻴?,??һ????,?????ε?Ե??????...

?????Ϻ???????8??21????Ѷ ????(8??20??)???????????ɾ????Ժ?,?̳??????ᵽ??Ѫ??.һ?????̳???ϸ??????????????????,9?¼?Ϣ?ĸ??ʺ??񲻴?,??һ????,?????ε?Ե??????ȫ?򾭼÷Ż????????????????????????????.???????ȫ??Ż????????????????ĵ??̳??϶?ɽ????,ȫ?????ȫ???´?,?????ƽ?????ծ?⵽׷??,??ָ?⵽??Ϣ?Ż??Լ???ծ???????ߵ͵???ѹ.???,ԭ?ͼ۸񲨷?????,?ڴ?ǰ????????????Ժ?,?ͼ۵????ݻ?,????????????Ȼ?dz?????. ??????ϸ?̳???,??Ԫָ??????????һ???µ?λ,??Ҫ???????????ɼ?Ҫ????,?̳?????????9?¼?Ϣ??Ԥ?ڽ???,?????????????ѹ??ծ??????,Ҳʩѹ??Ԫ;ŷԪ????Ԫ??дһ?????¸?λ,??Ҫ?????????????,??Ŀ?ͷ?ز?Ҳ??֧??ŷԪ????ҪҪ??;?ֻ???۴???2.2%???????????,??????????Ҫ??ʾ????????Ϣ????Ԫ????,һ??ȫ????д?????????,Ҳ֧?ֽ??;????9??ԭ???ڻ?????ǰ????,??????ԭ???ڻ??ߵ?,?ͼ??ڽ??????????ʱ????. ??????Ԫָ??????????һ???µ?λ,??Ҫ???????????ɼ?Ҫ????,?̳?????????9?¼?Ϣ??Ԥ?ڽ???,?????????????ѹ??ծ??????,Ҳʩѹ??Ԫ. ?????̳?????????9?¼?Ϣ??Ԥ?ڽ???ʩѹ??Ԫ.?????????????????¼????????Ԫ????,???¼???־????߲???????Ϣ.??Ա???±鼰??ͬ,???????ڰ???Ӧ????Ϣ?????,??????ͨ?͵??Լ?ȫ?򾭼?ƣ?????ɵ?Σ??̫??,???Բ?????ŵ??Ϣ.??ٽ?֮ǰΪ9????Ϣ????Ԥ????????Ա???ݽ??Ѻע. ??????֥?Ӹ???ҵ??????(CME)??????Fedwatch,??????9????Ϣ?Ļ??ʴ?7?µ׵?Լ50%????45%.??Ҫ???Ͻ??ٽ??????߶????ڼ?????Ԫ???. ????Monexפ???????????ʦMasafumi Yamamoto˵,"?????¼??δ??ӳ7?»?????̳???????ͼ??»????ҹ?????.???????????????ƶ????ڿ??ǵ???Щ?????,̬?ȱ?ø?Ϊ???IJ???????????." ??????ʿ?Ŵ?ָ??,ȫ?򾭼?????Զ?????ڶ?,??????Ԫ???ڲ?????ֵ,??????????ѡ??9?¼?Ϣ??????Σ??ƫ????????½?֮??;??һ??????,???ڸ??ָı????????????ͨ?????????ڵ???2%??Ҳ??????΢?½?;?????Ϊ????????9?¼?Ϣ??Ҳ????????50%????. ??????????????ѹ??ծ??????Ҳʩѹ??Ԫ.?????ҹ??????Լ?ŷ???????ش?,?????ָ֤?????3.4%?????վ?;???ҹ????е?????ѹ,ŷ?޹??м???,?¹???Ӣ???????ָ?????߸??µ?λ,???????????ָҲȫ???´?,ý?塢?Ƽ???????????ڰ?????.??ȫ?򾭼÷Ż??????Ǽ???????,?̳????????鼤??. ??????????ת????????ծ????.????30???ڹ?ծ?????????Ľ???2.75%,Ϊ4??29???????????????ˮƽ,????Ϊ2.819%.???ڹ?ծ???????߸?,????ڹ?ծ?????ʶ?????????????Զ???ı?߶?????.2???ڹ?ծ?????ʱ?0.676%,???????????ˮƽ. ????Schwab Center for Financial Research????????????????ʵ?ж???Randy Frederick????,"????????????һ??ʶ?Ȼ??ֵ?½?????,?̳??IJ?ȷ??????????ǿ.?ҹ????÷Ż??ٶ?ҪԶ????Ԥ??,???ó???????ʧ????." ????EverBank World Markets?ܲ?Chris Gaffney????,"????????ʶ?????Ӽ?Ϣ??12??Ҳ??Ե??ȫ???????????ͨ??????ѹ??.??????ʽ?̳?Ǯ???ı????Լ??ͼ۵ij????»????ó????????????,?ʽ??????ծ???ƽ??밲ȫ?۰???." ???????????ݷ???,?????????????ľ??????ݺû??ΰ?.??䵱?ܳ??븳?н??????Լ????̻????ȷ??벻??Ԥ??,?????ݳ??ۺͷѳ?????????ҵָ??????Ԥ??. ????????Ԥ?ڵ???????ϸ????,????7?³??ݳ????????껯559??,??8???¸?,Ԥ??543??,ǰֵ??549??????Ϊ548??.????ȫ???ز???????Э????ϯ????ѧ??Yunָ??,???????ݳ??ۺ???Ԥ??,??????????ƽ??۸?????,????Щ????????????η.???βɹ??Ļ????߷ݶ??½???28%,Ϊ????1?????????.7?¶???סլ????????,????7?³??ݳ?????????????2007??2????????λ. ????????8?·ѳ?????????ҵָ??8.3,Ԥ??6.8,ǰֵ5.7.????ѳ???????ҵ???ָ???Ķ???һֱ????????һ???????ǿ׳????.?ѳ???????ҵ???ָ??????????ŦԼ??????һ??????ָ???????˱???,??????8?·??½???-14.9??,??????2009??6?·??????????ˮƽ. ???????ֲ???Ԥ?ڵ?????????,????8??15?յ??ܳ????????о???????27.7????,Ԥ??27.1??,ǰֵ27.4????.??????Ϊ,???????ܸ??г???????С??????,?????ֲ???Ԥ??,?????ڽ????ȳ????????ѽ???21?ܴ???30??ؿ?????,?ټ?н??Ҳ¼??һ??????,????????????????̳????ڲ??ϻ?ů,???ų?ֹ????????÷???չ,??ʹ?????????Դ??ڱ???9?¼?Ϣ?Ĺ????. ????????7?????̻????ȷ???????-0.2%,Ԥ??0.2%,ǰֵ0.6%.????????,??Ϊ????????Ӫ????Ӧ?½?.?ڴ?????,???????Ⱦ??÷????ѽ????ĸ???ǿ??????.???????????ֵ̾???ҵ???ں????????ֵ????˳?:"??Ȼ????Ӫ????Ӧ????½?,?????????Ⱦ??÷?????ָ???ڱ???ʣ??ʱ???????????????." ????ŷԪ????Ԫ??дһ?????¸?λ,??Ҫ?????????????,??Ŀ?ͷ?ز?Ҳ??֧??ŷԪ????ҪҪ??. ???????????ҹ?????????Ҽ?ֵ?½???????ʽ?̳?Ǯ?????,ŷԪ??Ϊ????Ǯ??????ͷ???.ŷԪ?ѱ????ʽ?̳??????ߺͱ?Ľ?????????Խϵ?Ǯ???ı?ij???????????????Ǯ??,??Щ?????߳???Σ?ղ???,Ȼ??ɶ?ŷԪ????.ŷԪ?ƽ???ȫ???̳???????ҡ?е???.??????ʽ?̳?Ǯ???????ش?,????????????????¼??λ.?ҹ??̳?????𶯼????˳????߶?ԭ?ͺ???Ʒ?۸񼱵???????. ????ŷԪ????Ԫ?Ŀ?ͷ?ز??ӿ??˻?۵?????.????Աָ??,??ǰŷԪ????Ԫ???кܴ?Ŀ?ͷ?ز???DZ??,??????????????Ҫ?Ĵ߻?,?ٽ??????յ?????.???д???֧??,???͵ij???????Ϊ?Ⲩ????֧??,ŷԪ????Ԫ?ɽ???????. ????ŷ?????й?ίŵ?????ᵱ???????˹????Դ?,?????Դ?й©?????ɺۼ?.ŵ??????ָ??,ȫ?򾭼?????Զ?????ڱ????޵?Σ??,ŷԪ??ͨ????Զ???ڷ???,û???κκۼ?????ŷ?????л???ǰ???QE,?ͼ۵?????ζ??ŷ???????޷??????????ͨ?ͷ???.????Ҽ?ֵ?½?Ҳ???ڶ???????????ҡ,?ҹ?????Ҽ?ֵ?½?Ҳ????ȫ?򾭼?. ????ϣ????????ȥְ???ϣ???н??ٰ??ѡ????ѶҲ?????˳????ߵ?????,һ??ʩѹŷ??????????.????,??ϣ??Mega????̨????,ϣ??????9??20?վٰ??ѡ.ϣ????????Ա??,ϣ????????????˹?????????Ĺ??ڴ?ѡ????????,һ????????˹Ҳ????????????ͳ???ʹdz?.??????Ϊ,??????˹??ȥְ??Ҳ???????ϣ???????ϵIJ?ȷ????. ??????????˹???ն?ȫ?????????ӽ???,"??????Ǣ?ļ??ѹ????վ????,ϣ?????Ѷȹ???????.???Dz?δȷ????????ϣ????Э??,????????????????ȡ??????üƻ?.??????ŵȫ??ʩ??Э??,?????ǽ????????????????,ϣ??????ʵ?а???Э??." ??????????˹?˾?????ͣϢ?????????˵??ڲ??????Ķ???,??Ӯȡʩ?н????취?????֧??,???ڼ????????˵??ڲ?һ????ǿӲ?ɶ???ϣ???????־???;?????????????????˹?кܴ?Ҳ?????ٴ???ѡϣ??????,??????????Ѱ?????˵??ɵ?֧??. ??????????˹??ȥְ?????Ѷ??????,ϣ???????ڹ?ծ?۸??????չ,???????ʱ???124????????12.7%.ϣ???????ش?3.5%. ?????ֻ???۴???2.2%???????????,??????????Ҫ??ʾ????????Ϣ????Ԫ????,һ??ȫ????д?????????,Ҳ֧?ֽ??. ?????ֻ???????һ?ȼ???1.8%,??7??15?????????1,154??Ԫ,????1.7%,??ÿ??˾1,152.96??Ԫ.?ֻ?????7?µ͵????д?????????λ?????ۼƷ?????Խ7%.?ֻ?????1.4%,??ÿ??˾15.50??Ԫ. ????????ڽ??????ܽ???????,??һЩ??????Ѻע??????9?½??Ƴټ?Ϣ.????????Ա??7?»?????????˽??ڱ????Ϣ?ļƻ?,?????????????Ǵλ???ļ?Ҫ????,??Ա????Ϊ???????û?δ?????????????????ս?????ij̶?.?????????껹?????λ???,??һ?ζ???9?·ݾٰ?. ????????????Ա???±鼰??ͬ,???????ڰ???Ӧ????Ϣ?????,??????ͨ?͵??Լ?ȫ?򾭼?ƣ?????ɵ?Σ??̫??,???Բ?????ŵ??Ϣ. ?????????????????ߵ?????ʦHamza Khan????,"?̳???Щʧ??,???????????鲢δ??ȫ????????9????Ϣ." ??????????????????ƽ?,??????????ʽ?̳?Ǯ???????ҡʱѰ?????,һ??ȫ??????»?Ҳ?ǵ??ƽ????һ???ο??ı??ո???. ????????ʽ???һ?????,??????˹̹??????Ԫ??????25%,??ù????д?Ӧ?ù?Ǯ?????ڸ???.Խ??????Ҳ??Ǯ??????????μ?ֵ?½?.??ij?ѹ??Ǯ?????????Ϸ????غͶ???˹¬??. ?????????????ʦMatthew Turner˵,"֧?ֽ?۵?Ҫ????,??7?µ?8?³?֮ǰ,?̳?????????û??û?˵Ļ???Ѷ.???Դ??ҹ?????????????????Ҽ?ֵ?½???,??Ѷ??Խ??и?Ϊ????.????,???б?ҪҪ?뵽,??Ϊ??????Ϣ,??Ԫ????һ????ǿ,????????ڵ????Ʋ?Ҫ???ֿ???." ??????Ԫָ??????0.4%,?????????????»????¼??????,??????????????Ϣ??Ѻע????.????????????,7?³??ݳ?????????????????λ,?ѳ?????????ҵָ??Ҳ????,???????????ݺ????̻????ȷ????????򲻼?Ԥ??. ??????ͷ??????Ѱ???˶Ͽ?ͷͷ??Ҳ???ƽ?ȡ??֧??.Comex?ڻ?????Ȩ??Լ??Ͷ?????ѽ????ڽ????????ƽ?.???,???????Լ????ӡ?Ⱥ??ҹ???ҵ?ʵ????Ҫ,ѹ???????????ƽ????. ????ETF Securities????????Mike McGlone??Ϊ,?????̳???????,??ۻ򱻴???Ƹ?????????1300??Ԫ/??˾;??Ϊ?????ƽ??ڻ??????ֻ????״????,ǰ??Comex?ڽ?????ֻ????״??????2013??12??,?????2014??3?·??ֻ??????1190?ǵ?1380,?ֻ???۴???????Ҫ???ӡ?????ȱ??;???,???ڿ?ͷͷ?紴?¼?¼,δƽ?ֺ?Լ???????????ǵ???2010?????????ˮƽ,???1300??Ԫ/??˾??۲???????. ?????ֲַ???,ȫ??????ƽ?ETF--SPDR Gold Trust?ֲֽ?????????3.57??,??ʱ?ֲ???Ϊ675.44??. ????????9??ԭ???ڻ?????ǰ????,??????ԭ???ڻ??ߵ?,?ͼ??ڽ??????????ʱ????.????ʱ???ڵ?????9??ԭ???ڻ?????????,???н?Ͷ??,????????????µ?,?򹩸???ʣ.???ҹ????õ???????ѹ??????ԭ???ڻ?. ????????9??ԭ???ڻ?????0.34??Ԫ,?ձ?ÿͰ41.14??Ԫ.10?²?????ԭ???ڻ???0.54??Ԫ,?ձ?ÿͰ46.62??Ԫ.????ԭ???ڻ??̳??ٶȲ???40??Ԫ?ڽ?ˮƽ,????2009?????????,10?²?????ԭ???ڻ?????46??Ԫ֮?ϵĺ?Լ?µ?,??ȫ?򹩸???ʣ,?Լ????ҹ??????Ż??????dz?????ѹ?ͼ?. ??????Ԫ????,?Լ?2015??????󼾷缾?׸?쫷繹??Ҳ????֧??ԭ???̳?,??Ȼ쫷絤??û?е???,Ҳδ??ʯ?ͳ?????ʩ?γ??κ?Ӱ??. ???????޹???,MSCI??????̫????(???ձ?)ָ??????1.5%,???????λ,??ȫ???????IJ?????ѹŷ?޺?????????. ????Energy Management?ĸߵ??ϻ???Dominick Chirichella??һ?ݳ?????˵,"ȫ????е????ֶ?ԭ?ͺͱ????Ʒ?۸??γɸ???Ӱ??."Price Futures Group??????ʦPhil Flynn????,"??????????ƣβ????ѹ??????ԭ???ڻ?,ϣ????????ȥְ??Ҳ??????ŷ?޾??õ?????." ??????????ԴЭ??(EIA)??????????????????,??????????ԭ?Ϳ??????260??Ͱ,??4.5621??Ͱ,?????????,???????????½?.????ʦԭ??Ԥ??Ϊ??????.?????ƽ?????ԭ???ڻ???????????4%. ????????ʯ??Э??(API)???ķ?????һ?ݳ???????,????7??ԭ?Ͳ?ֵ??????1920?????????;????7??ԭ????Ҫ????1960??Ͱ/??,ͬ??????2.2%;????7??ԭ?Ͳ???????950??Ͱ/??,ͬ??????8.8%. ????ī???縱?Ƴ?Aportela?Ƹù??????½?ԭ?Ͳ?ֵ.Aportela????,ī????ԭ?Ͳ?ֵ????????,?½?ԭ?Ͳ?ֵ????ī????ľ???????.?µ?ī????2015??GDP????Ԥ????2-2.8%. ??????֪????ʿй©,??????,??????????ʯ?Ͳ?????ʯ???????????ŷ??????鳤????,????ð??Ų??ɾٶ?Ӧ???ͼ۵??Ծ???,????????Ų?δ????ŷ??˾??н??????????ٲ?ֵ. ?????????ͼ۵Ľ???????,????֤ȯ????ʦMichael Loewen??Ϊ,???ͽ???̽40??Ԫ/Ͱ,???ٵ?????Ҳ???¿?34??Ԫ/Ͱ;????OPECԭ???ղ?ֵ?ѳ???100-200??Ͱ,??????ֵҲ?????ڸ?λ,һ?????ȫ?򾭼?????Ҳ??ʾԭ????Ҫ????Ը???;???????????ͳ????뱣????,ԭ?Ϳ???Ʊػ????????,??ô?????ǽ????????????ļ???,???վ????ͼ۳?ѹ. ????????ʱ??5??58?? ??Ԫָ????95.75/77,ŷԪ????Ԫ??1.1233/35,?ֻ???۱?1152.33??Ԫ/??˾.???ʵ??ֵܿ?????QQ:675309141 ?绰:13816559247

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